Erick Gonzalez vs Jim Miller

October 15, 2021

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

970
(-30)
Erick Gonzalez
Winner: Jim Miller
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 0:14

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Erick Gonzalez-30
Jim Miller+33
1139
(+33)
Jim Miller

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Erick Gonzalez: -25Jim Miller: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricErick GonzalezJim Miller
Total UFC Fights138
Experience Gap-3737
Experience ELO9751 099
ELO Change-25+25
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller's 37-fight experience advantage (38 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jim Miller for the expected result. Had Erick Gonzalez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Erick Gonzalez: -18Jim Miller: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricErick GonzalezJim Miller
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9821 060
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Erick Gonzalez: -18Jim Miller: +37

Performance Statistics

MetricErick GonzalezJim Miller
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish0:140:14
Win Type ELO9821 260
ELO Change-18+37
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Erick Gonzalez: -90Jim Miller: +90

Performance Statistics

MetricErick GonzalezJim Miller
Significant Strikes Landed1432
Significant Strikes Attempted3748
Total Strikes Landed2243
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9101 139
ELO Change-90+90
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller controlled the striking exchanges with 43 vs 22 total strikes, 32 vs 14 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 37.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jim Miller capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Erick Gonzalez: -44Jim Miller: +44

Performance Statistics

MetricErick GonzalezJim Miller
Takedowns Landed11
Takedowns Attempted22
Ground Control Time1:021:55
Ground Strikes Landed16
Ground ELO9561 109
ELO Change-44+44
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Erick Gonzalez: -7Jim Miller: +9

Performance Statistics

MetricErick GonzalezJim Miller
Days Since Last FightN/A189
Activity ELO9931 275
ELO Change-7+9
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jim Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Erick Gonzalez's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Erick Gonzalez: -16Jim Miller: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricErick GonzalezJim Miller
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9841 109
ELO Change-16+17
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Erick Gonzalez is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Erick Gonzalez: -19Jim Miller: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricErick GonzalezJim Miller
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 057
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.