June 7, 2013
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Erick Silva | Jason High |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 024 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Erick Silva's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Erick Silva for the expected result. Had Jason High pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Jason High |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 030 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Jason High |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:11 | 1:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 169 | 935 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -23 |
Erick Silva earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:11, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Jason High |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 080 | 933 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 0 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Jason High |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:18 | 0:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 092 | 864 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Erick Silva edged out Jason High on the ground with 0:18 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Jason High |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 238 | 1 165 |
| Activity ELO | 1 071 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -17 |
Erick Silva demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Erick Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Jason High's 1165-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Jason High |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 040 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -19 |
Erick Silva started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jason High is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Jason High |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 030 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.