March 20, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Erick Silva | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 25 |
| Experience Gap | -15 | 15 |
| Experience ELO | 1 111 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -33 |
Erick Silva overcame a 15-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 25 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Josh Koscheck.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 059 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:21 | 4:21 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 304 | 1 238 |
| ELO Change | +83 | -50 |
Erick Silva earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:21, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 32 | 21 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 16 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 180 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Erick Silva edged the striking exchanges with 14 vs 4 significant strikes, 43.8% vs 19.0% accuracy. Erick Silva capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:49 | 1:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 236 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | +145 | -145 |
Erick Silva dominated Josh Koscheck on the ground with 0:49 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 21 |
| Activity ELO | 1 174 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -29 |
Erick Silva demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Erick Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Koscheck's 21-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 081 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -25 |
Erick Silva extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Koscheck is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 058 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.