Erick Silva vs Matt Brown

May 9, 2014

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1070
(-21)
Erick Silva
Winner: Matt Brown
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 2:11

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Erick Silva-21
Matt Brown+26
1285
(+26)
Matt Brown

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Erick Silva: -18Matt Brown: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricErick SilvaMatt Brown
Total UFC Fights817
Experience Gap-99
Experience ELO1 0191 213
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown's 9-fight experience advantage (17 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Brown for the expected result. Had Erick Silva pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Erick Silva: -16Matt Brown: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricErick SilvaMatt Brown
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0181 134
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Erick Silva: -14Matt Brown: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricErick SilvaMatt Brown
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish2:112:11
Win Type ELO1 1921 509
ELO Change-14+29
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Erick Silva: -27Matt Brown: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricErick SilvaMatt Brown
Significant Strikes Landed25118
Significant Strikes Attempted54166
Total Strikes Landed39161
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 1431 502
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown dominated the striking exchanges with 161 vs 39 total strikes, 118 vs 25 significant strikes, 71.1% vs 46.3% accuracy. Matt Brown capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Erick Silva: -56Matt Brown: +56

Performance Statistics

MetricErick SilvaMatt Brown
Takedowns Landed05
Takedowns Attempted35
Ground Control Time3:483:47
Ground Strikes Landed937
Ground ELO1 0541 245
ELO Change-56+56
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown controlled Erick Silva on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 3:47 of control time, 37 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Erick Silva: -10Matt Brown: +12

Performance Statistics

MetricErick SilvaMatt Brown
Days Since Last Fight84266
Activity ELO1 0831 314
ELO Change-10+12
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown demonstrated standard activity with 266 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Matt Brown capitalized on this activity level, while Erick Silva's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Erick Silva: -13Matt Brown: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricErick SilvaMatt Brown
Win Streak07
Win Streak ELO1 0331 230
ELO Change-13+36
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Erick Silva's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Erick Silva: -16Matt Brown: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricErick SilvaMatt Brown
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0181 132
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.