May 9, 2014
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Erick Silva | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 019 | 1 213 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Matt Brown's 9-fight experience advantage (17 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Brown for the expected result. Had Erick Silva pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 018 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:11 | 2:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 192 | 1 509 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +29 |
Matt Brown gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 118 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 54 | 166 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 39 | 161 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 143 | 1 502 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Matt Brown dominated the striking exchanges with 161 vs 39 total strikes, 118 vs 25 significant strikes, 71.1% vs 46.3% accuracy. Matt Brown capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:48 | 3:47 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 37 |
| Ground ELO | 1 054 | 1 245 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Matt Brown controlled Erick Silva on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 3:47 of control time, 37 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 84 | 266 |
| Activity ELO | 1 083 | 1 314 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +12 |
Matt Brown demonstrated standard activity with 266 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Matt Brown capitalized on this activity level, while Erick Silva's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 7 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 033 | 1 230 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +36 |
Matt Brown continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Erick Silva's now at 0.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 018 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

