December 19, 2014
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Erick Silva | Mike Rhodes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 044 | 924 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Erick Silva's 6-fight experience advantage (9 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Erick Silva for the expected result. Had Mike Rhodes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Mike Rhodes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 035 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Mike Rhodes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:15 | 1:15 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 221 | 915 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -15 |
Erick Silva earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:15, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Mike Rhodes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 2 | 3 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 155 | 935 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Erick Silva slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 100.0% vs 66.7% accuracy. Erick Silva capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Mike Rhodes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:05 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 091 | 877 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Erick Silva controlled Mike Rhodes on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:05 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Mike Rhodes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 225 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 1 100 | 946 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -14 |
Erick Silva demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Erick Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Rhodes's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Mike Rhodes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 051 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -17 |
Erick Silva started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Rhodes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Mike Rhodes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 035 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.