August 22, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Erick Silva | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 082 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (11 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 040 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 293 | 1 303 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Neil Magny receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 68 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 59 | 131 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 132 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 139 | 1 285 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Neil Magny dominated the striking exchanges with 132 vs 37 total strikes, 68 vs 29 significant strikes. Neil Magny capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:46 | 4:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 15 |
| Ground ELO | 1 155 | 1 316 |
| ELO Change | -81 | +81 |
Neil Magny controlled Erick Silva on the ground with 4 vs 3 takedowns, 4:05 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 22 |
| Activity ELO | 1 161 | 1 399 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +94 |
Neil Magny demonstrated exceptional activity with 22 days since his last fight, earning a high activity bonus for the rapid turnaround. As the winner, Neil Magny capitalized on this activity level, while Erick Silva's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 066 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +17 |
Neil Magny started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Erick Silva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 039 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.