February 14, 2014
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Erick Silva | Takenori Sato |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 037 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Erick Silva's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Erick Silva for the expected result. Had Takenori Sato pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Takenori Sato |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 034 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Takenori Sato |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:52 | 0:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 206 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -26 |
Erick Silva secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:52 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Takenori Sato |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 18 | 0 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 170 | 861 |
| ELO Change | +139 | -139 |
Erick Silva controlled the striking exchanges with 21 vs 0 total strikes, 18 vs 0 significant strikes, 100.0% vs 0.0% accuracy. Erick Silva capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Takenori Sato |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 110 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Erick Silva controlled Takenori Sato on the ground with 14 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Takenori Sato |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 130 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 093 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -18 |
Erick Silva demonstrated solid activity levels with 130 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Erick Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Takenori Sato's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Takenori Sato |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 046 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Erick Silva started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Takenori Sato is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Erick Silva | Takenori Sato |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 034 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.