May 29, 2015
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ericka Almeida | Juliana Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 970 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Juliana Lima's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Juliana Lima for the expected result. Had Ericka Almeida pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ericka Almeida | Juliana Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ericka Almeida | Juliana Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 959 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Juliana Lima earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ericka Almeida | Juliana Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 37 | 72 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 32 | 119 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 943 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
Juliana Lima dominated the striking exchanges with 119 vs 32 total strikes, 41 vs 13 significant strikes, 56.9% vs 35.1% accuracy. Juliana Lima capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ericka Almeida | Juliana Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:33 | 9:51 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 918 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -82 | +82 |
Juliana Lima dominated Ericka Almeida on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 9:51 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ericka Almeida | Juliana Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 981 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Juliana Lima demonstrated standard activity with 203 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Juliana Lima capitalized on this activity level, while Ericka Almeida's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ericka Almeida | Juliana Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Juliana Lima extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ericka Almeida is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ericka Almeida | Juliana Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

