January 26, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Erik Koch | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 987 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +24 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (9 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Erik Koch | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Erik Koch | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 061 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
King Green earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Erik Koch | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 56 | 110 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 146 | 194 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 60 | 134 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 939 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
King Green dominated the striking exchanges with 134 vs 60 total strikes, 110 vs 56 significant strikes, 56.7% vs 38.4% accuracy. King Green capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Erik Koch | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:56 | 3:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 18 |
| Ground ELO | 1 000 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
King Green edged out Erik Koch on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:17 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Erik Koch | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 217 | 113 |
| Activity ELO | 1 016 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +43 |
King Green demonstrated solid activity levels with 113 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, King Green capitalized on this activity level, while Erik Koch's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Erik Koch | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 994 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
King Green started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Erik Koch is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Erik Koch | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.