August 27, 2013
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Erik Perez | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 083 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Takeya Mizugaki's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Takeya Mizugaki for the expected result. Had Erik Perez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Erik Perez | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 037 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Erik Perez | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 213 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Takeya Mizugaki receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Erik Perez | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 113 | 106 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 49 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 194 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Takeya Mizugaki slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Takeya Mizugaki capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Erik Perez | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:38 | 2:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 131 | 1 201 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Takeya Mizugaki edged out Erik Perez on the ground with 2 takedowns, 2:40 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Erik Perez | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 242 | 179 |
| Activity ELO | 1 097 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +37 |
Takeya Mizugaki demonstrated solid activity levels with 179 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Takeya Mizugaki capitalized on this activity level, while Erik Perez's 242-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Erik Perez | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +29 |
Takeya Mizugaki extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Erik Perez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Erik Perez | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 037 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.