February 23, 2024
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Erik Silva | Muhammad Naimov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 951 | 1 179 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Erik Silva | Muhammad Naimov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Erik Silva | Muhammad Naimov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:44 | 0:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 934 | 1 230 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +46 |
Muhammad Naimov secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:44 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Erik Silva | Muhammad Naimov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 915 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 1 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Erik Silva | Muhammad Naimov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:13 | 0:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 821 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Erik Silva | Muhammad Naimov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 441 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 965 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +29 |
Muhammad Naimov demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Muhammad Naimov capitalized on this activity level, while Erik Silva's 441-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Erik Silva | Muhammad Naimov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 962 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +21 |
Muhammad Naimov extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Erik Silva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Erik Silva | Muhammad Naimov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 961 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

