Erik Silva vs TJ Brown

December 9, 2022

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

952
(-48)
Erik Silva
Winner: TJ Brown
Submission
Round 3 • 3:41

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Erik Silva-48
TJ Brown+53
1018
(+53)
TJ Brown

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Erik Silva: -34TJ Brown: +34

Performance Statistics

MetricErik SilvaTJ Brown
Total UFC Fights16
Experience Gap-55
Experience ELO9661 004
ELO Change-34+34
💡

What Happened

TJ Brown's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding TJ Brown for the expected result. Had Erik Silva pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Erik Silva: -22TJ Brown: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricErik SilvaTJ Brown
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9781 002
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Erik Silva: -49TJ Brown: +74

Performance Statistics

MetricErik SilvaTJ Brown
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round33
Time of Finish3:413:41
Win Type ELO9511 013
ELO Change-49+74
💡

What Happened

TJ Brown earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 3:41, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Erik Silva was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Erik Silva: -42TJ Brown: +42

Performance Statistics

MetricErik SilvaTJ Brown
Significant Strikes Landed2124
Significant Strikes Attempted2938
Total Strikes Landed3282
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO958980
ELO Change-42+42
💡

What Happened

TJ Brown dominated the striking exchanges with 82 vs 32 total strikes, 63.2% vs 72.4% accuracy. TJ Brown capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Erik Silva: -171TJ Brown: +171

Performance Statistics

MetricErik SilvaTJ Brown
Takedowns Landed32
Takedowns Attempted47
Ground Control Time2:359:43
Ground Strikes Landed15
Ground ELO8291 096
ELO Change-171+171
💡

What Happened

TJ Brown dominated Erik Silva on the ground with 2 takedowns, 9:43 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Erik Silva: -21TJ Brown: +37

Performance Statistics

MetricErik SilvaTJ Brown
Days Since Last FightN/A169
Activity ELO9791 036
ELO Change-21+37
💡

What Happened

TJ Brown demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, TJ Brown capitalized on this activity level, while Erik Silva's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Erik Silva: -22TJ Brown: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricErik SilvaTJ Brown
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9781 011
ELO Change-22+24
💡

What Happened

TJ Brown started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Erik Silva is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Erik Silva: -22TJ Brown: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricErik SilvaTJ Brown
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9781 002
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.