February 17, 2023
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Erin Blanchfield | Jessica Andrade |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 23 |
| Experience Gap | -18 | 18 |
| Experience ELO | 1 260 | 1 189 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -35 |
Erin Blanchfield overcame a 18-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 23 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jessica Andrade.
| Metric | Erin Blanchfield | Jessica Andrade |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 112 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Erin Blanchfield | Jessica Andrade |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:37 | 1:37 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 336 | 1 385 |
| ELO Change | +101 | -65 |
Erin Blanchfield earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:37, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Jessica Andrade was submitted.
| Metric | Erin Blanchfield | Jessica Andrade |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 120 | 143 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 229 | 1 259 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Jessica Andrade lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Erin Blanchfield's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Erin Blanchfield | Jessica Andrade |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:03 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 375 | 1 319 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -75 |
Erin Blanchfield controlled Jessica Andrade on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:03 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Erin Blanchfield | Jessica Andrade |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 28 |
| Activity ELO | 1 236 | 1 265 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -28 |
Erin Blanchfield demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Erin Blanchfield capitalized on this activity level, while Jessica Andrade's 28-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Erin Blanchfield | Jessica Andrade |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 158 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -26 |
Erin Blanchfield continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Jessica Andrade's now at 0.
| Metric | Erin Blanchfield | Jessica Andrade |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 109 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.