November 2, 2024
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Erin Blanchfield | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 307 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -31 |
Erin Blanchfield overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Rose Namajunas.
| Metric | Erin Blanchfield | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 140 | 1 264 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Erin Blanchfield | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 368 | 1 353 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Erin Blanchfield earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Erin Blanchfield | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 110 | 94 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 281 | 245 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 193 | 101 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 272 | 1 339 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Erin Blanchfield dominated the striking exchanges with 193 vs 101 total strikes, 110 vs 94 significant strikes. Erin Blanchfield capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Erin Blanchfield | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:54 | 0:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 479 | 1 334 |
| ELO Change | +93 | -93 |
Erin Blanchfield controlled Rose Namajunas on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 8:54 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Erin Blanchfield | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 218 | 113 |
| Activity ELO | 1 261 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -23 |
Erin Blanchfield demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Erin Blanchfield capitalized on this activity level, while Rose Namajunas's 113-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Erin Blanchfield | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 200 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Erin Blanchfield started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rose Namajunas is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Erin Blanchfield | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 129 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.