September 17, 2021
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Erin Blanchfield | Sarah Alpar |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 059 | 911 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -59 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Erin Blanchfield | Sarah Alpar |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Erin Blanchfield | Sarah Alpar |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 036 | 917 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Erin Blanchfield earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Erin Blanchfield | Sarah Alpar |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 120 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 210 | 113 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 198 | 45 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 039 | 853 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Erin Blanchfield dominated the striking exchanges with 198 vs 45 total strikes, 120 vs 41 significant strikes, 57.1% vs 36.3% accuracy. Erin Blanchfield capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Erin Blanchfield | Sarah Alpar |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:43 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 57 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 071 | 850 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -71 |
Erin Blanchfield dominated Sarah Alpar on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 9:43 of control time, 57 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Erin Blanchfield | Sarah Alpar |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 364 |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Erin Blanchfield demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since her last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Erin Blanchfield capitalized on this activity level, while Sarah Alpar's 364-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Erin Blanchfield | Sarah Alpar |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Erin Blanchfield started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sarah Alpar is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Erin Blanchfield | Sarah Alpar |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.