Eryk Anders vs Rafael Natal

July 21, 2017

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1068
(+68)
Eryk Anders
Winner: Eryk Anders
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:54

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Eryk Anders+68
Rafael Natal-59
1032
(-59)
Rafael Natal

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Eryk Anders: +116Rafael Natal: -116

Performance Statistics

MetricEryk AndersRafael Natal
Total UFC Fights117
Experience Gap-1616
Experience ELO1 116955
ELO Change+116-116
💡

What Happened

Eryk Anders overcame a 16-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Rafael Natal.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Eryk Anders: +24Rafael Natal: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricEryk AndersRafael Natal
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0241 026
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Eryk Anders: +129Rafael Natal: -57

Performance Statistics

MetricEryk AndersRafael Natal
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:542:54
Win Type ELO1 1291 076
ELO Change+129-57
💡

What Happened

Eryk Anders earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:54, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Eryk Anders: +107Rafael Natal: -107

Performance Statistics

MetricEryk AndersRafael Natal
Significant Strikes Landed2314
Significant Strikes Attempted2923
Total Strikes Landed2315
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 107931
ELO Change+107-107
💡

What Happened

Eryk Anders controlled the striking exchanges with 23 vs 14 significant strikes, 79.3% vs 60.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Eryk Anders capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Eryk Anders: +82Rafael Natal: -82

Performance Statistics

MetricEryk AndersRafael Natal
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted21
Ground Control Time0:460:00
Ground Strikes Landed110
Ground ELO1 0821 051
ELO Change+82-82
💡

What Happened

Eryk Anders landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Eryk Anders: +31Rafael Natal: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricEryk AndersRafael Natal
Days Since Last FightN/A252
Activity ELO1 0311 141
ELO Change+31-31
💡

What Happened

Eryk Anders demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Eryk Anders capitalized on this activity level, while Rafael Natal's 252-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Eryk Anders: +28Rafael Natal: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricEryk AndersRafael Natal
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 0281 054
ELO Change+28-26
💡

What Happened

Eryk Anders started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rafael Natal is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Eryk Anders: +24Rafael Natal: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricEryk AndersRafael Natal
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0241 025
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.