July 21, 2017
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Eryk Anders | Rafael Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -16 | 16 |
| Experience ELO | 1 116 | 955 |
| ELO Change | +116 | -116 |
Eryk Anders overcame a 16-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Rafael Natal.
| Metric | Eryk Anders | Rafael Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Eryk Anders | Rafael Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:54 | 2:54 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 129 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +129 | -57 |
Eryk Anders earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:54, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Eryk Anders | Rafael Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 29 | 23 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 23 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 107 | 931 |
| ELO Change | +107 | -107 |
Eryk Anders controlled the striking exchanges with 23 vs 14 significant strikes, 79.3% vs 60.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Eryk Anders capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Eryk Anders | Rafael Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:46 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 082 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -82 |
Eryk Anders landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Eryk Anders | Rafael Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 252 |
| Activity ELO | 1 031 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Eryk Anders demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Eryk Anders capitalized on this activity level, while Rafael Natal's 252-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Eryk Anders | Rafael Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -26 |
Eryk Anders started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rafael Natal is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Eryk Anders | Rafael Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

