August 24, 2018
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Eryk Anders | Tim Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 130 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Eryk Anders's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Eryk Anders for the expected result. Had Tim Williams pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Eryk Anders | Tim Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 047 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Eryk Anders | Tim Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:42 | 4:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 194 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -21 |
Eryk Anders gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Eryk Anders | Tim Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 43 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 93 | 113 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 46 | 52 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 176 | 864 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Eryk Anders dominated the striking exchanges, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Eryk Anders capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Eryk Anders | Tim Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:11 | 1:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 125 | 945 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Eryk Anders did not secure a significant ground advantage against Tim Williams on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:11 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Eryk Anders | Tim Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 203 | 188 |
| Activity ELO | 1 080 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -16 |
Eryk Anders demonstrated standard activity with 203 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Eryk Anders capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Williams's 188-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Eryk Anders | Tim Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 057 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -18 |
Eryk Anders started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tim Williams is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Eryk Anders | Tim Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 044 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

