July 7, 2023
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Esteban Ribovics | Kamuela Kirk |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -40 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Esteban Ribovics | Kamuela Kirk |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Esteban Ribovics | Kamuela Kirk |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 008 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Esteban Ribovics earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Esteban Ribovics | Kamuela Kirk |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 115 | 56 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 202 | 107 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 135 | 86 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 019 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Esteban Ribovics controlled the striking exchanges with 135 vs 86 total strikes, 115 vs 56 significant strikes. Esteban Ribovics capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Esteban Ribovics | Kamuela Kirk |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 14 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:15 | 6:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 960 | 866 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Esteban Ribovics edged out Kamuela Kirk on the ground with 2 takedowns, 1:15 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Esteban Ribovics | Kamuela Kirk |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 483 |
| Activity ELO | 1 024 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -23 |
Esteban Ribovics demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Esteban Ribovics capitalized on this activity level, while Kamuela Kirk's 483-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Esteban Ribovics | Kamuela Kirk |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 004 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Esteban Ribovics started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kamuela Kirk is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Esteban Ribovics | Kamuela Kirk |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.