Esteban Ribovics vs Nasrat Haqparast

March 1, 2025

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1076
(-16)
Esteban Ribovics
Winner: Nasrat Haqparast
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Esteban Ribovics-16
Nasrat Haqparast+19
1209
(+19)
Nasrat Haqparast

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Esteban Ribovics: -24Nasrat Haqparast: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricEsteban RibovicsNasrat Haqparast
Total UFC Fights514
Experience Gap-99
Experience ELO1 0821 216
ELO Change-24+24
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What Happened

Nasrat Haqparast's 9-fight experience advantage (14 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nasrat Haqparast for the expected result. Had Esteban Ribovics pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Esteban Ribovics: -18Nasrat Haqparast: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricEsteban RibovicsNasrat Haqparast
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0281 119
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Esteban Ribovics: -7Nasrat Haqparast: +7

Performance Statistics

MetricEsteban RibovicsNasrat Haqparast
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1831 315
ELO Change-7+7
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Nasrat Haqparast receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Esteban Ribovics: -14Nasrat Haqparast: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricEsteban RibovicsNasrat Haqparast
Significant Strikes Landed147135
Significant Strikes Attempted433273
Total Strikes Landed149135
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1561 302
ELO Change-14+14
💡

What Happened

Esteban Ribovics controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (147 vs 135), superior accuracy (33.9% vs 49.5%). However, since Esteban Ribovics lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Nasrat Haqparast's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Esteban Ribovics: -16Nasrat Haqparast: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricEsteban RibovicsNasrat Haqparast
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted05
Ground Control Time0:000:49
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 0021 208
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

Nasrat Haqparast did not secure a significant ground advantage against Esteban Ribovics on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:49 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Esteban Ribovics: -15Nasrat Haqparast: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricEsteban RibovicsNasrat Haqparast
Days Since Last Fight169253
Activity ELO1 0851 219
ELO Change-15+19
💡

What Happened

Nasrat Haqparast demonstrated standard activity with 253 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Nasrat Haqparast capitalized on this activity level, while Esteban Ribovics's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Esteban Ribovics: -16Nasrat Haqparast: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricEsteban RibovicsNasrat Haqparast
Win Streak05
Win Streak ELO1 0451 172
ELO Change-16+31
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What Happened

Nasrat Haqparast continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Esteban Ribovics's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Esteban Ribovics: -18Nasrat Haqparast: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricEsteban RibovicsNasrat Haqparast
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0281 119
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.