December 27, 2013
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Estevan Payan | Robert Peralta |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 945 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Robert Peralta's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Robert Peralta for the expected result. Had Estevan Payan pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Estevan Payan | Robert Peralta |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 959 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Estevan Payan | Robert Peralta |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:12 | 0:12 |
| Win Type ELO | 944 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +60 |
Robert Peralta gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Estevan Payan | Robert Peralta |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 34 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 65 | 68 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 62 | 53 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 917 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Robert Peralta controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Robert Peralta capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Estevan Payan | Robert Peralta |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:45 | 3:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 869 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Robert Peralta landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Estevan Payan | Robert Peralta |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 218 | 267 |
| Activity ELO | 967 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Robert Peralta demonstrated standard activity with 267 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Robert Peralta capitalized on this activity level, while Estevan Payan's 218-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Estevan Payan | Robert Peralta |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 961 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +20 |
Robert Peralta started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Estevan Payan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Estevan Payan | Robert Peralta |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 959 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.