September 21, 2000
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Eugene Jackson | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 973 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Jeremy Horn's 2-fight experience advantage (6 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jeremy Horn for the expected result. Had Eugene Jackson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Eugene Jackson | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 997 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Eugene Jackson | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:32 | 4:32 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 051 | 1 214 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +55 |
Jeremy Horn earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:32, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Eugene Jackson | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 9 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 23 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 100 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Jeremy Horn slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 33.3% vs 22.2% accuracy. Jeremy Horn capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Eugene Jackson | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 3:35 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 834 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Jeremy Horn dominated Eugene Jackson on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:35 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Eugene Jackson | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 364 |
| Activity ELO | 1 018 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Jeremy Horn demonstrated standard activity with 364 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Jeremy Horn capitalized on this activity level, while Eugene Jackson's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Eugene Jackson | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +28 |
Jeremy Horn extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Eugene Jackson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Eugene Jackson | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 997 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.