Evan Dunham vs Gleison Tibau

February 1, 2013

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1160
(+36)
Evan Dunham
Winner: Evan Dunham
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Evan Dunham+36
Gleison Tibau-29
1163
(-29)
Gleison Tibau

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Dunham: +49Gleison Tibau: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan DunhamGleison Tibau
Total UFC Fights1018
Experience Gap-88
Experience ELO1 1811 107
ELO Change+49-32
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What Happened

Evan Dunham overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Gleison Tibau.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Dunham: +23Gleison Tibau: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan DunhamGleison Tibau
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0851 068
ELO Change+23-23
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Dunham: +13Gleison Tibau: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan DunhamGleison Tibau
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1681 219
ELO Change+13-13
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Evan Dunham receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Dunham: +62Gleison Tibau: -62

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan DunhamGleison Tibau
Significant Strikes Landed9137
Significant Strikes Attempted237169
Total Strikes Landed9837
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1841 177
ELO Change+62-62
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What Happened

Evan Dunham dominated the striking exchanges with 98 vs 37 total strikes, 91 vs 37 significant strikes, 38.4% vs 21.9% accuracy. Evan Dunham capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Dunham: +28Gleison Tibau: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan DunhamGleison Tibau
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted99
Ground Control Time1:321:50
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 2571 314
ELO Change+28-28
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What Happened

Evan Dunham did not secure a significant ground advantage against Gleison Tibau on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:32 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Dunham: +57Gleison Tibau: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan DunhamGleison Tibau
Days Since Last Fight134113
Activity ELO1 2041 249
ELO Change+57-29
💡

What Happened

Evan Dunham demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Evan Dunham capitalized on this activity level, while Gleison Tibau's 113-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Dunham: +26Gleison Tibau: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan DunhamGleison Tibau
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1131 101
ELO Change+26-23
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What Happened

Evan Dunham started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gleison Tibau is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Dunham: +23Gleison Tibau: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan DunhamGleison Tibau
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0841 068
ELO Change+23-23
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.