June 5, 2020
Catch Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Herbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 21 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 19 | -19 |
| Experience ELO | 1 095 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +94 |
Herbert Burns overcame a 19-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 21 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Evan Dunham.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Herbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 040 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Herbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:20 | 1:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 131 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +100 |
Herbert Burns earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:20, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Herbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 10 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 976 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Herbert Burns slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Herbert Burns capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Herbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:05 | 0:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 020 | 1 201 |
| ELO Change | -172 | +172 |
Herbert Burns dominated Evan Dunham on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:38 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Herbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 623 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 188 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +64 |
Herbert Burns demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Herbert Burns capitalized on this activity level, while Evan Dunham's 623-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Herbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 084 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +31 |
Herbert Burns extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Evan Dunham is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Herbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 039 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.