December 10, 2015
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Joe Lauzon |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 20 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 186 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -31 |
Evan Dunham overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (16 vs 20 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Joe Lauzon.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Joe Lauzon |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 090 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Joe Lauzon |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 245 | 1 253 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Evan Dunham earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Joe Lauzon |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 127 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 291 | 113 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 147 | 44 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 169 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Evan Dunham dominated the striking exchanges with 147 vs 44 total strikes, 127 vs 42 significant strikes. Evan Dunham capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Joe Lauzon |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:50 | 0:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 249 | 1 170 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Evan Dunham slightly outworked Joe Lauzon on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:50 of control time, earning modest grappling bonuses.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Joe Lauzon |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 250 | 1 191 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -21 |
Evan Dunham demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Evan Dunham capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Lauzon's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Joe Lauzon |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 130 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -21 |
Evan Dunham extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Lauzon is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Joe Lauzon |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 089 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.