Evan Dunham vs Melvin Guillard

Melvin Guillard's 7-fight experience advantage (13 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Melvin Guillard for the expected result. Had Evan Dunham pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Melvin Guillard earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:58, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Melvin Guillard dominated the striking exchanges with 28 vs 2 total strikes, 17 vs 2 significant strikes, 51.5% vs 20.0% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Melvin Guillard capitalized on this striking dominance.

Melvin Guillard landed 2 knockdowns followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Melvin Guillard demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Melvin Guillard capitalized on this activity level, while Evan Dunham's 120-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Melvin Guillard extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Evan Dunham is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.