January 27, 2012
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 156 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 086 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 199 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Evan Dunham gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 68 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 97 | 76 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 100 | 57 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 145 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Evan Dunham controlled the striking exchanges with 100 vs 57 total strikes, 68 vs 39 significant strikes, 70.1% vs 51.3% accuracy. Evan Dunham capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:51 | 1:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 255 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Evan Dunham controlled Nik Lentz on the ground with 2 takedowns, 4:51 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 134 | 49 |
| Activity ELO | 1 173 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -25 |
Evan Dunham demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Evan Dunham capitalized on this activity level, while Nik Lentz's 49-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 111 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Evan Dunham extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nik Lentz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 085 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.