April 6, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 166 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +63 |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Evan Dunham.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 083 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:53 | 0:53 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 216 | 1 339 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +128 |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:53 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 14 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 055 | 1 261 |
| ELO Change | -143 | +143 |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier controlled the striking exchanges with 13 vs 4 significant strikes, 72.2% vs 28.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Olivier Aubin-Mercier capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 224 | 1 332 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 1 236 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +35 |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier demonstrated standard activity with 203 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Olivier Aubin-Mercier capitalized on this activity level, while Evan Dunham's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 126 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +34 |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Evan Dunham is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 082 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.