Evan Dunham vs Rafael Dos Anjos

May 17, 2013

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1138
(-22)
Evan Dunham
Winner: Rafael Dos Anjos
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Evan Dunham-22
Rafael Dos Anjos+23
1224
(+23)
Rafael Dos Anjos

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Dunham: -36Rafael Dos Anjos: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan DunhamRafael Dos Anjos
Total UFC Fights1112
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO1 1451 169
ELO Change-36+36
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (11 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Dunham: -21Rafael Dos Anjos: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan DunhamRafael Dos Anjos
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0641 099
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Dunham: -23Rafael Dos Anjos: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan DunhamRafael Dos Anjos
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1451 364
ELO Change-23+23
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What Happened

Rafael Dos Anjos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Dunham: -17Rafael Dos Anjos: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan DunhamRafael Dos Anjos
Significant Strikes Landed6866
Significant Strikes Attempted270183
Total Strikes Landed9086
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1671 266
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

Evan Dunham controlled the striking through superior accuracy (25.2% vs 36.1%). However, since Evan Dunham lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Rafael Dos Anjos's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Dunham: -16Rafael Dos Anjos: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan DunhamRafael Dos Anjos
Takedowns Landed30
Takedowns Attempted72
Ground Control Time2:400:42
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 2411 366
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

Rafael Dos Anjos did not secure a significant ground advantage against Evan Dunham on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:42 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Dunham: -17Rafael Dos Anjos: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan DunhamRafael Dos Anjos
Days Since Last Fight105182
Activity ELO1 1871 289
ELO Change-17+21
💡

What Happened

Rafael Dos Anjos demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Rafael Dos Anjos capitalized on this activity level, while Evan Dunham's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Dunham: -21Rafael Dos Anjos: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan DunhamRafael Dos Anjos
Win Streak04
Win Streak ELO1 0921 141
ELO Change-21+30
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What Happened

Rafael Dos Anjos extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Evan Dunham is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Dunham: -21Rafael Dos Anjos: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan DunhamRafael Dos Anjos
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0631 099
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.