September 16, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Ricky Glenn |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 16 | -16 |
| Experience ELO | 1 202 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Evan Dunham's 16-fight experience advantage (17 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Evan Dunham for the expected result. Had Ricky Glenn pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Ricky Glenn |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 106 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Ricky Glenn |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 261 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Evan Dunham earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Ricky Glenn |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 144 | 58 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 279 | 156 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 185 | 63 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 195 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Evan Dunham dominated the striking exchanges with 185 vs 63 total strikes, 144 vs 58 significant strikes, 51.6% vs 37.2% accuracy. Evan Dunham capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Ricky Glenn |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:03 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 277 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Evan Dunham controlled Ricky Glenn on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 7:03 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Ricky Glenn |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 281 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 258 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
Evan Dunham demonstrated standard activity with 281 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Evan Dunham capitalized on this activity level, while Ricky Glenn's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Ricky Glenn |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 149 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -13 |
Evan Dunham extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ricky Glenn is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Ricky Glenn |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 105 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.