July 17, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Ross Pearson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 147 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (15 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Ross Pearson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 068 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Ross Pearson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 189 | 1 249 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -63 |
Evan Dunham earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Ross Pearson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 48 | 28 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 88 | 47 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 130 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Evan Dunham controlled the striking exchanges with 88 vs 47 total strikes, 26 vs 16 significant strikes. Evan Dunham capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Ross Pearson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 13 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 11:00 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 220 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +101 | -101 |
Evan Dunham dominated Ross Pearson on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 11:00 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Ross Pearson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 196 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 207 | 1 226 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -26 |
Evan Dunham demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Evan Dunham capitalized on this activity level, while Ross Pearson's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Ross Pearson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 102 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -23 |
Evan Dunham extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ross Pearson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Evan Dunham | Ross Pearson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 067 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.