Evan Dunham vs TJ Grant

September 21, 2012

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1124
(-27)
Evan Dunham
Winner: TJ Grant
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Evan Dunham-27
TJ Grant+33
1133
(+33)
TJ Grant

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Dunham: -24TJ Grant: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan DunhamTJ Grant
Total UFC Fights99
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 1321 137
ELO Change-24+36
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (9 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Dunham: -24TJ Grant: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan DunhamTJ Grant
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0621 067
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Dunham: -44TJ Grant: +44

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan DunhamTJ Grant
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1551 223
ELO Change-44+44
💡

What Happened

TJ Grant earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Dunham: -23TJ Grant: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan DunhamTJ Grant
Significant Strikes Landed160164
Significant Strikes Attempted377300
Total Strikes Landed183171
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1221 140
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Evan Dunham controlled the striking through superior accuracy (42.4% vs 54.7%). However, since Evan Dunham lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. TJ Grant's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Dunham: -26TJ Grant: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan DunhamTJ Grant
Takedowns Landed30
Takedowns Attempted83
Ground Control Time1:480:40
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO1 2291 202
ELO Change-26+26
💡

What Happened

TJ Grant did not secure a significant ground advantage against Evan Dunham on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:40 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Dunham: -26TJ Grant: +52

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan DunhamTJ Grant
Days Since Last Fight238130
Activity ELO1 1471 139
ELO Change-26+52
💡

What Happened

TJ Grant demonstrated solid activity levels with 130 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, TJ Grant capitalized on this activity level, while Evan Dunham's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Dunham: -24TJ Grant: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan DunhamTJ Grant
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO1 0871 088
ELO Change-24+32
💡

What Happened

TJ Grant extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Evan Dunham is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Dunham: -24TJ Grant: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan DunhamTJ Grant
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0611 067
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.