Evan Elder vs Gauge Young

April 26, 2025

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1031
(+26)
Evan Elder
Winner: Evan Elder
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Evan Elder+26
Gauge Young-26
974
(-26)
Gauge Young

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Elder: +34Gauge Young: -34

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan ElderGauge Young
Total UFC Fights51
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 008966
ELO Change+34-34
💡

What Happened

Evan Elder's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Evan Elder for the expected result. Had Gauge Young pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Elder: +21Gauge Young: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan ElderGauge Young
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 020979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Elder: +38Gauge Young: -38

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan ElderGauge Young
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 075962
ELO Change+38-38
💡

What Happened

Evan Elder earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Elder: +31Gauge Young: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan ElderGauge Young
Significant Strikes Landed11581
Significant Strikes Attempted210183
Total Strikes Landed11581
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 021969
ELO Change+31-31
💡

What Happened

Evan Elder controlled the striking exchanges with 115 vs 81 total strikes, 115 vs 81 significant strikes, 54.8% vs 44.3% accuracy. Evan Elder capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Elder: +21Gauge Young: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan ElderGauge Young
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted31
Ground Control Time0:160:02
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 033979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Elder: +20Gauge Young: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan ElderGauge Young
Days Since Last Fight288N/A
Activity ELO1 040980
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

Evan Elder demonstrated standard activity with 288 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Evan Elder capitalized on this activity level, while Gauge Young's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Elder: +27Gauge Young: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan ElderGauge Young
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 032979
ELO Change+27-21
💡

What Happened

Evan Elder extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gauge Young is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Elder: +21Gauge Young: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan ElderGauge Young
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 020979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.