Evan Elder vs Genaro Valdez

July 14, 2023

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

964
(+29)
Evan Elder
Winner: Evan Elder
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Evan Elder+29
Genaro Valdez-25
879
(-25)
Genaro Valdez

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Elder: +34Genaro Valdez: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan ElderGenaro Valdez
Total UFC Fights33
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO942912
ELO Change+34-23
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Elder: +21Genaro Valdez: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan ElderGenaro Valdez
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO979937
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Elder: +40Genaro Valdez: -40

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan ElderGenaro Valdez
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO974877
ELO Change+40-40
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What Happened

Evan Elder earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Elder: +22Genaro Valdez: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan ElderGenaro Valdez
Significant Strikes Landed9664
Significant Strikes Attempted195236
Total Strikes Landed9665
Knockdowns Scored11
Striking ELO948637
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

Evan Elder controlled the striking exchanges with 96 vs 65 total strikes, 96 vs 64 significant strikes, 49.2% vs 27.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Evan Elder capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Elder: +28Genaro Valdez: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan ElderGenaro Valdez
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time0:060:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO909853
ELO Change+28-28
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Elder: +42Genaro Valdez: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan ElderGenaro Valdez
Days Since Last Fight147224
Activity ELO1 000940
ELO Change+42-21
💡

What Happened

Evan Elder demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Evan Elder capitalized on this activity level, while Genaro Valdez's 224-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Elder: +23Genaro Valdez: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan ElderGenaro Valdez
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO981938
ELO Change+23-21
💡

What Happened

Evan Elder started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Genaro Valdez is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Evan Elder: +21Genaro Valdez: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricEvan ElderGenaro Valdez
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO979937
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.