December 15, 2000
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Evan Tanner | Lance Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 080 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Evan Tanner | Lance Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 061 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Evan Tanner | Lance Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:58 | 4:58 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 220 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -35 |
Evan Tanner earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:58, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Evan Tanner | Lance Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 40 | 8 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 47 | 18 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 215 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +79 | -79 |
Evan Tanner controlled the striking exchanges with 47 vs 18 total strikes, 32 vs 6 significant strikes. Evan Tanner capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Evan Tanner | Lance Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:11 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 25 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 176 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -71 |
Evan Tanner controlled Lance Gibson on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:11 of control time, 25 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Evan Tanner | Lance Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 652 | 281 |
| Activity ELO | 1 134 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -15 |
Evan Tanner demonstrated extended layoff with 652 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Evan Tanner capitalized on this activity level, while Lance Gibson's 281-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Evan Tanner | Lance Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 072 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Evan Tanner extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lance Gibson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Evan Tanner | Lance Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 061 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.