June 18, 2004
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Evan Tanner | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 084 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Evan Tanner's 3-fight experience advantage (10 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Evan Tanner for the expected result. Had Phil Baroni pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Evan Tanner | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 104 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Evan Tanner | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 296 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Evan Tanner earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Evan Tanner | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 73 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 102 | 67 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 118 | 60 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 161 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Evan Tanner dominated the striking exchanges with 118 vs 60 total strikes, 73 vs 23 significant strikes, 71.6% vs 34.3% accuracy. Evan Tanner capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Evan Tanner | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:05 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 283 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Evan Tanner dominated Phil Baroni on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 6:05 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Evan Tanner | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 211 | 211 |
| Activity ELO | 1 195 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -13 |
Evan Tanner demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Evan Tanner capitalized on this activity level, while Phil Baroni's 211-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Evan Tanner | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 124 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -16 |
Evan Tanner extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Phil Baroni is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Evan Tanner | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 101 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.