September 19, 1996
Open Weight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Fabio Gurgel | Jerry Bohlander |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 969 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +32 |
Jerry Bohlander's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jerry Bohlander for the expected result. Had Fabio Gurgel pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Fabio Gurgel | Jerry Bohlander |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Fabio Gurgel | Jerry Bohlander |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 15:00 | 15:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 962 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +43 |
Jerry Bohlander earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Fabio Gurgel | Jerry Bohlander |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 21 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 179 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 910 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -90 | +90 |
Jerry Bohlander dominated the striking exchanges with 179 vs 15 total strikes, 18 vs 2 significant strikes, 85.7% vs 66.7% accuracy. Jerry Bohlander capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Fabio Gurgel | Jerry Bohlander |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 942 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Jerry Bohlander controlled Fabio Gurgel on the ground with 1 takedown, 12 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Fabio Gurgel | Jerry Bohlander |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 217 |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Jerry Bohlander demonstrated standard activity with 217 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jerry Bohlander capitalized on this activity level, while Fabio Gurgel's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Fabio Gurgel | Jerry Bohlander |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Jerry Bohlander started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Fabio Gurgel is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Fabio Gurgel | Jerry Bohlander |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

