May 14, 2012
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Igor Pokrajac |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 996 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Igor Pokrajac's 4-fight experience advantage (7 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Igor Pokrajac for the expected result. Had Fabio Maldonado pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Igor Pokrajac |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Igor Pokrajac |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 035 | 1 262 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Igor Pokrajac earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Igor Pokrajac |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 98 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 137 | 80 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 166 | 64 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 054 | 1 188 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Fabio Maldonado controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (166 vs 64 total strikes), significant strike advantage (98 vs 36), superior accuracy (71.5% vs 45.0%). However, since Fabio Maldonado lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Igor Pokrajac's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Igor Pokrajac |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:46 | 6:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 931 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Igor Pokrajac controlled Fabio Maldonado on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 6:07 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Igor Pokrajac |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 346 | 157 |
| Activity ELO | 987 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +28 |
Igor Pokrajac demonstrated solid activity levels with 157 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Igor Pokrajac capitalized on this activity level, while Fabio Maldonado's 346-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Igor Pokrajac |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 984 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +26 |
Igor Pokrajac extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Fabio Maldonado is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Igor Pokrajac |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.