October 8, 2013
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Joey Beltran |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 030 | 849 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Fabio Maldonado overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Joey Beltran.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Joey Beltran |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 004 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Joey Beltran |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 062 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Fabio Maldonado receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Joey Beltran |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 87 | 57 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 168 | 200 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 121 | 86 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 033 | 875 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Fabio Maldonado controlled the striking exchanges with 121 vs 86 total strikes, 87 vs 57 significant strikes, 51.8% vs 28.5% accuracy. Fabio Maldonado capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Joey Beltran |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:37 | 6:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 947 | 882 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Fabio Maldonado did not secure a significant ground advantage against Joey Beltran on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:37 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Joey Beltran |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 144 | 299 |
| Activity ELO | 1 038 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -21 |
Fabio Maldonado demonstrated solid activity levels with 144 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Fabio Maldonado capitalized on this activity level, while Joey Beltran's 299-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Joey Beltran |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 013 | 945 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Fabio Maldonado extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joey Beltran is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Joey Beltran |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 004 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.