Fabio Maldonado vs Kyle Kingsbury

June 3, 2011

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1020
(-28)
Fabio Maldonado
Winner: Kyle Kingsbury
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Fabio Maldonado-28
Kyle Kingsbury+32
1119
(+32)
Kyle Kingsbury

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Fabio Maldonado: -30Kyle Kingsbury: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricFabio MaldonadoKyle Kingsbury
Total UFC Fights25
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO1 0281 105
ELO Change-30+30
💡

What Happened

Kyle Kingsbury's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kyle Kingsbury for the expected result. Had Fabio Maldonado pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Fabio Maldonado: -20Kyle Kingsbury: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricFabio MaldonadoKyle Kingsbury
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0011 062
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Fabio Maldonado: -35Kyle Kingsbury: +35

Performance Statistics

MetricFabio MaldonadoKyle Kingsbury
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0571 185
ELO Change-35+35
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What Happened

Kyle Kingsbury earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Fabio Maldonado: -18Kyle Kingsbury: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricFabio MaldonadoKyle Kingsbury
Significant Strikes Landed7895
Significant Strikes Attempted144191
Total Strikes Landed122110
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0691 187
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

Kyle Kingsbury controlled the striking exchanges with 95 vs 78 significant strikes. Kyle Kingsbury capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Fabio Maldonado: -61Kyle Kingsbury: +61

Performance Statistics

MetricFabio MaldonadoKyle Kingsbury
Takedowns Landed25
Takedowns Attempted214
Ground Control Time1:342:37
Ground Strikes Landed13
Ground ELO9961 161
ELO Change-61+61
💡

What Happened

Kyle Kingsbury controlled Fabio Maldonado on the ground with 5 vs 2 takedowns, 2:37 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Fabio Maldonado: -18Kyle Kingsbury: +46

Performance Statistics

MetricFabio MaldonadoKyle Kingsbury
Days Since Last Fight231119
Activity ELO1 0031 110
ELO Change-18+46
💡

What Happened

Kyle Kingsbury demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kyle Kingsbury capitalized on this activity level, while Fabio Maldonado's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Fabio Maldonado: -19Kyle Kingsbury: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricFabio MaldonadoKyle Kingsbury
Win Streak04
Win Streak ELO1 0041 081
ELO Change-19+27
💡

What Happened

Kyle Kingsbury extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Fabio Maldonado is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Fabio Maldonado: -20Kyle Kingsbury: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricFabio MaldonadoKyle Kingsbury
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0011 062
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.