April 24, 2015
Catch Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 051 | 1 170 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Quinton Jackson's 3-fight experience advantage (13 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Quinton Jackson for the expected result. Had Fabio Maldonado pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 015 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 121 | 1 263 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Quinton Jackson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 67 | 99 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 134 | 211 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 94 | 114 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 058 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Quinton Jackson controlled the striking exchanges with 114 vs 94 total strikes, 99 vs 67 significant strikes. Quinton Jackson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:52 | 1:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 965 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Quinton Jackson did not secure a significant ground advantage against Fabio Maldonado on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:11 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 819 |
| Activity ELO | 1 080 | 1 238 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +12 |
Quinton Jackson demonstrated extended layoff with 819 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Quinton Jackson capitalized on this activity level, while Fabio Maldonado's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Quinton Jackson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Fabio Maldonado is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 010 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.