May 30, 2014
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 041 | 1 222 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 008 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:35 | 0:35 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 086 | 1 363 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +53 |
Stipe Miocic secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:35 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 8 | 14 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 023 | 1 328 |
| ELO Change | -70 | +70 |
Stipe Miocic controlled the striking exchanges with 8 vs 2 significant strikes, 57.1% vs 25.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Stipe Miocic capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 959 | 1 306 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 69 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 055 | 1 191 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +31 |
Stipe Miocic demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Stipe Miocic capitalized on this activity level, while Fabio Maldonado's 69-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +22 |
Stipe Miocic extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Fabio Maldonado is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Fabio Maldonado | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 008 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

