June 22, 2012
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Fabricio Werdum | Mike Russow |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 076 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Fabricio Werdum | Mike Russow |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 060 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Fabricio Werdum | Mike Russow |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:28 | 2:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 328 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | +86 | -38 |
Fabricio Werdum earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:28, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Fabricio Werdum | Mike Russow |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 58 | 16 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 295 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +179 | -179 |
Fabricio Werdum controlled the striking exchanges with 31 vs 3 total strikes, 31 vs 3 significant strikes, 53.4% vs 18.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Fabricio Werdum capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Fabricio Werdum | Mike Russow |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:11 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 146 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -75 |
Fabricio Werdum landed 1 knockdown followed by 13 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Fabricio Werdum | Mike Russow |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 112 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -22 |
Fabricio Werdum demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Fabricio Werdum capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Russow's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Fabricio Werdum | Mike Russow |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 075 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -24 |
Fabricio Werdum extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Russow is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Fabricio Werdum | Mike Russow |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 057 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

