May 13, 2016
UFC Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Fabricio Werdum | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 229 | 1 311 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (11 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Fabricio Werdum | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 197 | 1 214 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +78 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Stipe Miocic captured the UFC Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Fabricio Werdum | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:47 | 2:47 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 566 | 1 698 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +96 |
Stipe Miocic earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:47, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Fabricio Werdum | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 33 | 31 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 20 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 427 | 1 621 |
| ELO Change | -87 | +87 |
Stipe Miocic controlled the striking exchanges with 20 vs 15 significant strikes, 64.5% vs 45.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Stipe Miocic capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Fabricio Werdum | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 359 | 1 431 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Fabricio Werdum | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 336 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 200 | 1 283 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +39 |
Stipe Miocic demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Stipe Miocic capitalized on this activity level, while Fabricio Werdum's 336-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Fabricio Werdum | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 216 | 1 208 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +32 |
Stipe Miocic extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Fabricio Werdum is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Fabricio Werdum | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 124 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.