July 21, 2023
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Jai Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 071 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Jai Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Jai Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 094 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Fares Ziam earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Jai Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 61 | 49 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 113 | 134 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 96 | 58 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 063 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Fares Ziam controlled the striking exchanges with 96 vs 58 total strikes, 61 vs 49 significant strikes, 54.0% vs 36.6% accuracy. Fares Ziam capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Jai Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:30 | 4:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 013 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Fares Ziam did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jai Herbert on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:30 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Jai Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 322 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 054 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Fares Ziam demonstrated standard activity with 322 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Fares Ziam capitalized on this activity level, while Jai Herbert's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Jai Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 055 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Fares Ziam extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jai Herbert is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Jai Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.