October 16, 2020
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Jamie Mullarkey |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 002 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -22 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Jamie Mullarkey |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Jamie Mullarkey |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 009 | 917 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Fares Ziam earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Jamie Mullarkey |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 89 | 72 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 54 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 020 | 916 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Fares Ziam controlled the striking exchanges with 54 vs 29 total strikes, 47 vs 20 significant strikes, 52.8% vs 27.8% accuracy. Fares Ziam capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Jamie Mullarkey |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:12 | 6:56 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 958 | 926 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Fares Ziam edged out Jamie Mullarkey on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:12 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Jamie Mullarkey |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 406 | 378 |
| Activity ELO | 999 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -21 |
Fares Ziam demonstrated extended layoff with 406 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Fares Ziam capitalized on this activity level, while Jamie Mullarkey's 378-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Jamie Mullarkey |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 003 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Fares Ziam started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jamie Mullarkey is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Jamie Mullarkey |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.