September 28, 2024
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Matt Frevola |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 147 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -28 |
Fares Ziam overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Matt Frevola.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Matt Frevola |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 083 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Matt Frevola |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:59 | 2:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 235 | 1 237 |
| ELO Change | +126 | -63 |
Fares Ziam gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Matt Frevola |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 94 | 59 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 69 | 25 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 284 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | +167 | -167 |
Fares Ziam controlled the striking exchanges with 69 vs 25 total strikes, 58 vs 16 significant strikes, 61.7% vs 27.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Fares Ziam capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Matt Frevola |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:43 | 2:47 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 154 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +101 | -101 |
Fares Ziam landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Matt Frevola |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 218 | 323 |
| Activity ELO | 1 112 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Fares Ziam demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Fares Ziam capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Frevola's 323-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Matt Frevola |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 113 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -19 |
Fares Ziam extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Frevola is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Matt Frevola |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 083 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.