September 2, 2022
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Michal Figlak |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 038 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Fares Ziam's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Fares Ziam for the expected result. Had Michal Figlak pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Michal Figlak |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Michal Figlak |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 044 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Fares Ziam earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Michal Figlak |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 60 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 108 | 96 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 111 | 55 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 035 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Fares Ziam dominated the striking exchanges with 111 vs 55 total strikes, 60 vs 28 significant strikes, 55.6% vs 29.2% accuracy. Fares Ziam capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Michal Figlak |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:48 | 1:35 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 985 | 908 |
| ELO Change | +92 | -92 |
Fares Ziam controlled Michal Figlak on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 6:48 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Michal Figlak |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 031 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Fares Ziam demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Fares Ziam capitalized on this activity level, while Michal Figlak's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Michal Figlak |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 031 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Fares Ziam started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Michal Figlak is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Michal Figlak |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.