February 25, 2022
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Terrance McKinney |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 007 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +31 |
Terrance McKinney overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Fares Ziam.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Terrance McKinney |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Terrance McKinney |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:11 | 2:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 002 | 1 206 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +47 |
Terrance McKinney earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:11, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Terrance McKinney |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 993 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Terrance McKinney slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 75.0% vs 100.0% accuracy. Terrance McKinney capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Terrance McKinney |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 2:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 893 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | -90 | +90 |
Terrance McKinney dominated Fares Ziam on the ground with 2:03 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Terrance McKinney |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 260 | 260 |
| Activity ELO | 1 005 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Terrance McKinney demonstrated standard activity with 260 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Terrance McKinney capitalized on this activity level, while Fares Ziam's 260-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Terrance McKinney |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 008 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Terrance McKinney extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Fares Ziam is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Fares Ziam | Terrance McKinney |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.