June 24, 2017
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Justine Kish |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 101 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Felice Herrig's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Felice Herrig for the expected result. Had Justine Kish pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Justine Kish |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Justine Kish |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 167 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Felice Herrig earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Justine Kish |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 93 | 72 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 131 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 095 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Felice Herrig dominated the striking exchanges with 131 vs 50 total strikes, 47 vs 40 significant strikes. Felice Herrig capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Justine Kish |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:24 | 1:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 22 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 176 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -59 |
Felice Herrig controlled Justine Kish on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 9:24 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Justine Kish |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 198 |
| Activity ELO | 1 086 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -21 |
Felice Herrig demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Felice Herrig capitalized on this activity level, while Justine Kish's 198-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Justine Kish |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 076 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
Felice Herrig extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Justine Kish is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Justine Kish |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.