July 22, 2016
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Kailin Curran |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 033 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Kailin Curran |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Kailin Curran |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:59 | 1:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 097 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -38 |
Felice Herrig earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:59, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Kailin Curran |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 30 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 040 | 892 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Felice Herrig edged the striking exchanges with 13 vs 5 significant strikes, 43.3% vs 29.4% accuracy. Felice Herrig capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Kailin Curran |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 047 | 882 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Felice Herrig controlled Kailin Curran on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:00 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Kailin Curran |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 462 | 226 |
| Activity ELO | 1 018 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -20 |
Felice Herrig demonstrated extended layoff with 462 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Felice Herrig capitalized on this activity level, while Kailin Curran's 226-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Kailin Curran |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 024 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Felice Herrig started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kailin Curran is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Kailin Curran |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.